Collingwood and Essendon are a strong chance to meet in consecutive weeks. Picture: Michael Klein.
Collingwood and Essendon are a strong chance to meet in consecutive weeks. Picture: Michael Klein.

Ultimate guide to where your club can finish

BRISBANE Lions' hopes of clinching their first minor premiership in more than a century are not completely reliant on defeating Richmond in the last round of the home-and-away season.

As the Lions aim to end a hoodoo at the MCG and losing streak against the Tigers, an analysis reveals Brisbane could still finish on top of the ladder if results involving Carlton and Hawthorn fall their way.

South Australian clubs Adelaide and Port Adelaide need plenty to go right to sneak into the finals, while Hawthorn needs to defeat West Coast and hope Adelaide overcomes Western Bulldogs in Ballarat.

The numbers might sound complicated, but don't fret.

We've got you covered with every possible scenario for your team and where they could finish.

Brisbane Lions claimed top spot after a thrilling win over Geelong on Saturday. Picture: AAP Image/Darren England.
Brisbane Lions claimed top spot after a thrilling win over Geelong on Saturday. Picture: AAP Image/Darren England.

1 BRISBANE LIONS

64 120.9%

Potential finish: 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

v 4th Richmond, MCG.

Sunday, 3.20pm

If Brisbane wins …

1st

If Brisbane loses …

1st: If Richmond defeats Brisbane by less than 63 points, PLUS Carlton defeats Geelong, PLUS Hawthorn defeats West Coast - or West Coast wins but the Eagles' winning margin and Brisbane's' losing margin total fewer than 74 points

2nd: Only two of these scenarios occur

3rd: Only one occurs

4th: None occurs

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2 GEELONG

60 132.4%

Potential finish: 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

v 16th Carlton, GMHBA.

Saturday, 4.35pm

If Geelong wins …

1st: Richmond def Brisbane

2nd: Brisbane def Richmond

If Geelong loses …

2nd: Hawthorn def West Coast, PLUS Brisbane def Richmond

3rd: Only one of these results occurs

4th Neither occurs

West Coast can still finish top of the ladder despite losing on Sunday to Richmond. Picture: AAP Image/Michael Dodge.
West Coast can still finish top of the ladder despite losing on Sunday to Richmond. Picture: AAP Image/Michael Dodge.

3 WEST COAST

60 115.7%

Potential finish: 1 2 3 4 5

v 9th Hawthorn, Optus Stadium.

Saturday, 8.10pm

If the Eagles win …

1st: If all three of these scenarios occur: Richmond def Brisbane - and West Coast and Richmond's winning margins total at least 74 points (this will put Brisbane below West Coast), PLUS Richmond def Brisbane - but Richmond's winning margin is not more than 48 points bigger than West Coast's (this will keep Richmond below West Coast), PLUS Carlton def Geelong

2nd: Only two of these scenarios occur

3rd: Only one occurs

4th: None occurs

If the Eagles lose …

3rd: Brisbane def Richmond, PLUS Essendon def Collingwood

4th: Only one of these results occurs

5th: Neither occurs

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4 RICHMOND

60 112.5%

Potential finish: 1 2 3 4 5

v 1st Brisbane Lions, MCG,

Sunday, 3.20pm

If the Tigers win …

1st: If all three of these scenarios occur: Richmond def Brisbane by at least 63 points, PLUS Carlton def Geelong, PLUS Hawthorn def West Coast - or West Coast wins but Richmond wins by at least 49 points more than West Coast wins

2nd: Only two of these scenarios occur

3rd: Only one occurs

4th: None occurs

If the Tigers lose …

3rd: Hawthorn def West Coast - and West Coast loses by at least 51 points more than Richmond, PLUS Essendon def Collingwood

4th: Only one of these results occurs

5th: Neither occurs

5 COLLINGWOOD

56 117.8%

Potential finish: 3 4 5

v 7th Essendon, MCG,

Friday, 7.50pm

If the Magpies win …

3rd: Hawthorn def West Coast, PLUS Brisbane def Richmond

4th: Only one of these results occurs

5th: Neither occurs

If the Magpies lose …

5th

6 GWS GIANTS

48 111.5%

Potential finish: 6 7 8

v 18th Gold Coast, Metricon Stadium,

Saturday, 7.25pm

If the Giants win …

6th

If the Giants lose …

6th: Collingwood def Essendon, PLUS Adelaide def Bulldogs - or Dogs win but their winning margin and GWS's losing margin total less than 94 points

7th: Only one of these results occurs

8th: Neither occurs

Collingwood and Essendon are a strong chance to meet in consecutive weeks. Picture: Michael Klein.
Collingwood and Essendon are a strong chance to meet in consecutive weeks. Picture: Michael Klein.

7 ESSENDON

48 95.8%

Potential finish: 6 7 8

v 5th Collingwood, MCG,

Friday, 7.50pm

If the Bombers win …

6th: Gold Coast def GWS

7th: GWS def Gold Coast

If the Bombers lose …

7th: Adelaide def Bulldogs

8th: Bulldogs def Adelaide

8 WESTERN BULLDOGS

44 105.6%

Potential finish: 6 7 8 9 10 11

v 10th Adelaide, Mars Stadium,

Ballarat, Sunday, 1.10pm

If the Bulldogs win …

6th: Gold Coast def GWS - and the Bulldogs' winning margin and GWS's losing margin total at least 94 points, PLUS Collingwood def Essendon

7th: Only one of these results occurs

8th: Neither occurs

If the Bulldogs lose:

8th: If all three of these scenarios occur: Bulldogs lose by less than 22 points, West Coast def Hawthorn, Fremantle def Port Adelaide - or Port wins but Port's winning margin and Bulldog' losing margin total less than 44 points

9th: or lower unless all three of the above occur

Western Bulldogs will lock in a finals berth with victory against Adelaide in Ballarat. Picture: Mark Metcalfe/Getty Images.
Western Bulldogs will lock in a finals berth with victory against Adelaide in Ballarat. Picture: Mark Metcalfe/Getty Images.

9 HAWTHORN

40 106.6%

Potential finish: 8 9 10 11 12

v 3rd West Coast Eagles, Perth Oval,

Saturday, 8.10pm

If the Hawks win …

8th: Adelaide def Bulldogs - but Adelaide's winning margin is not 59 points more than

Hawthorn's, PLUS Fremantle def Port Adelaide - or Port wins, but its winning margin is not at least 61 points more than Hawthorn's

9th: or lower unless both of the above occur

If the Hawks lose …

9th: or lower

10 ADELAIDE

40 103%

Potential finish: 8 9 10 11 12

v 8th Western Bulldogs, Mars Stadium,

Ballarat, Sunday, 1.10pm

If the Crows win …

8th: If all three of these scenarios occur: Adelaide def Bulldogs by at least 22 points, West Coast def Hawthorn - or Hawthorn wins but Adelaide wins by at least 59 points more than Hawthorn

Fremantle def Port Adelaide - or Port wins but by no more than 1 point more than Adelaide wins (if Adelaide wins by more than 40 points, Port would need to win by 2 points more)

9th: or lower Unless all three of the above occur

If the Hawks lose …

10th: or lower

11 PORT ADELAIDE

40 103%

Potential finish: 8 9 10 11 12

v 12th Fremantle, Adelaide Oval,

Sunday, 4.40pm

If the Power wins …

8th: Adelaide def Bulldogs (by at least 22 points), PLUS Port Adelaide wins by at least one point more than Adelaide wins (if Adelaide wins by more than 40 points, Port must win by at least two points more), PLUS West Coast def Hawthorn - or Hawthorn wins but Port wins by at least 61 points more than Hawthorn does

9th: or lower Unless both of the above occur

If the Power loses …

10 or lower

*Drawn results have not been included